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The FairTax Book

This weekend, I read The FairTax Book, by Congressman John Linder (R-GA) and syndicated talk show host Neal Boortz.  A few words about Mr. Boortz are necessary before you visit his website, if you’re not familiar with him.  Mr. Boortz is a conservative talk show host, and I would describe him as a “Libertarian crank”.  I think I can get away with this, because I don’t think he’d disagree or find it insulting.  If I’m wrong, I will change this and apologize.  Anyway, as a “Libertarian crank”, he dislikes the “Christian Right” and loathes the “Liberal Left”.  If you’re in one of these two groups, especially the latter, you’ll probably be offended by one or more things on his website, or his talk show.  If you’re a Libertarian or a moderate conservative with more liberal leanings on some social issues, you will fit right in.  However, no matter what group you’re in, the book deserves a read.  It’s short and you can read it in an hour or two.

This book details a plan for abolishing the Income Tax, eliminating the IRS and moving the United States to a 23% inclusive retail sales tax.  The book refers to existing House (& Senate) Bills.  Linder is the sponsor of the House version (H.R. 25), which has 37 Cosponsors, listed below:

Rep Akin, W. Todd [MO-2] - 3/1/2005
Rep Baker, Richard H. [LA-6] - 3/8/2005
Rep Bartlett, Roscoe G. [MD-6] - 2/9/2005
Rep Bilirakis, Michael [FL-9] - 1/25/2005
Rep Bonilla, Henry [TX-23] - 2/8/2005
Rep Brady, Kevin [TX-8] - 1/4/2005
Rep Conaway, K. Michael [TX-11] - 3/8/2005
Rep Cubin, Barbara [WY] - 2/8/2005
Rep Culberson, John Abney [TX-7] - 1/4/2005
Rep Deal, Nathan [GA-10] - 1/4/2005
Rep DeLay, Tom [TX-22] - 1/4/2005
Rep Flake, Jeff [AZ-6] - 1/4/2005
Rep Franks, Trent [AZ-2] - 4/26/2005
Rep Gingrey, Phil [GA-11] - 3/15/2005
Rep Graves, Sam [MO-6] - 4/13/2005
Rep Gutknecht, Gil [MN-1] - 1/4/2005
Rep Hall, Ralph M. [TX-4] - 2/8/2005
Rep Hefley, Joel [CO-5] - 5/19/2005
Rep Hensarling, Jeb [TX-5] - 2/1/2005
Rep Keller, Ric [FL-8] - 5/3/2005
Rep King, Steve [IA-5] - 1/4/2005
Rep Kingston, Jack [GA-1] - 1/4/2005
Rep Lewis, Jerry [CA-41] - 5/3/2005
Rep McCaul, Michael T. [TX-10] - 1/25/2005
Rep Miller, Gary G. [CA-42] - 2/9/2005
Rep Miller, Jeff [FL-1] - 1/25/2005
Rep Myrick, Sue [NC-9] - 4/12/2005
Rep Neugebauer, Randy [TX-19] - 2/1/2005
Rep Ney, Robert W. [OH-18] - 3/2/2005
Rep Norwood, Charlie [GA-9] - 1/6/2005
Rep Pearce, Stevan [NM-2] - 2/8/2005
Rep Price, Tom [GA-6] - 1/4/2005
Rep Sodrel, Michael E. [IN-9] - 3/1/2005
Rep Stearns, Cliff [FL-6] - 3/1/2005
Rep Thornberry, Mac [TX-13] - 4/6/2005
Rep Westmoreland, Lynn A. [GA-8] - 1/4/2005
Rep Young, Don [AK] - 5/5/2005

The Senate version, S. 25, is sponsored by Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) and has no current cosponsors.  I don’t have the time or the energy to look up the party affiliations of the 37 House Cosponsors, but I hope there are a few Democrats there.  One of the original men behind this bill was Collin Peterson, a Democrat from Minnesota.

I’m sure that a 23% sales tax sounds high, but the authors point out that all of our current products are produced by people who pay taxes, and therefore have an “embedded” tax in their current price.  If the income tax is removed, these “embedded” taxes should disappear.  These embedded taxes generally amount to around 22%, so the end result is that a product that currently costs $100 would cost about $101.40 under the FairTax plan.  You’ll be able to afford that extra 1.4% increase though, because your take home pay is going to increase by between 30% and 70% depending on your current tax bracket.

There’s also a “prebate” check you’ll be receiving every month to cover the sales taxes on your living expenses.  If you’re married and have a family of four, this will be a check for about $500 every month.  That should again help with the $1.40 added to your $100 grocery bill.

Now, no tax plan is perfect, and there are some people who will be adversely affected by the FairTax.  I’ll list them, and you can decide for yourself how sympathetic you are to these groups.   If you’re very sympathetic, then perhaps the FairTax isn’t right for you.

1) Tax evaders.  People who have a significant amount of “undeclared” income every year.  The house painter that wants to be paid in “cash”.   The waiter that “forgets” to declare his/her tips.  This group consists of people performing legal activities, but cheating on their taxes.  This group costs the “non-cheaters” about $2000 annually, each.  So, if you’re married, then this group raises the annual tax bill for you and your spouse by about $4000.
2) People/Organizations who earn their income illegally.  Drug dealers, illegal workers, prostitutes (in most U.S. areas).
3) People/Organizations who use offshore financial centers (remember the book/movie The Firm?) such as the Cayman islands to house their money and conduct their business.
4) The “independent” wealthy.  This group has little or no “earned income”.  Even an active civil lawyer may fit into this category by managing his/her money correctly.  But this group doesn’t pay Social Security or Medicare taxes because they aren’t “employed”, and they use the tax laws or perhaps those offshore financial centers to limit their income tax liability as well.  No tax liabilities = no tax.
5) Foreign tourists.  When they spend money in the U.S. under the FairTax plan, they’ll increase the tax revenue for the U.S.  And they won’t get a monthly “prebate”.
6) Lobbyists.  These are the people living in Washington D.C. and other places who make their living by convincing Senator X and Congressman Y that they need to vote to give a tax break to Corporation A, or Organization B.  They make their living because the tax code is so complicated that Corporation A and Organization B can get that tax break without the citizenry complaining, because we’ll never figure out exactly what happened.  These people are going to be out of a job, if the tax code is ever simplified this way, and will have to earn a living performing an actual service for the community (“Would you like fries with that?”).

These groups take a hit because right now they're all avoiding paying taxes into the general fund.  However, with a consumption tax, when they spend their money, whether ill-gotten or not, they're going to be contributing to the fund.  Of course, then we won't be able to prosecute the Al Capone's of the world for income tax evasion, but I'm sure the Eliot Ness's of the world can come up with something just as creative.

There’s one final group that bears mentioning.  This group isn’t exactly “penalized” by the FairTax, but they don’t receive as much of the benefits as other groups.

1) Those living on Social Security.  Currently, this group does not pay income taxes (at least on their Social Security benefits), but they would be subject to the retail sales tax.  They’re still going to get the “prebate”, though, and they probably live on mostly the “essentials” which is what the “prebate” is supposed to cover.  They’ll still come out ahead, most likely, but not as far ahead as your typical wage earner.  This is unfortunate.  They’ve lived their entire lives under a corrupt system, and finally when they reach the age where they can take advantage of the corruption, we’d take the advantages away from them.

Anyway, I urge you to buy the book and read it.  You’ll learn something, whether you agree or disagree with the authors conclusions.  I further urge you to find out the positions on this of your elected representation, and those seeking to obtain those positions.  When it comes to election time, ask those who want your vote where they stand.  This is an idea that’s been floating around for 20 years or more and has been studied from every angle by groups both for and against it, so the answer “Well, I think it needs more study” shouldn’t satisfy you.  If you get that answer, press for a real one by informing the candidate that this is a very important issue, and if s/he can’t take the time to study up on important issues and form an opinion, then they don’t deserve your vote.

My only significant criticism of the FairTax is that I think it would lead to higher interest rates on long-term mortgages.  The book claims the opposite, but either I am missing something obvious (which is likely), or the authors are mistaken.  I can see that short-term rates and credit card rates would go down because they’re highly impacted by the “embedded” taxes, but I think that long-term rates are more impacted by the Prime Rate than the “embedded” taxes because they get to spread that cost over the lifetime of the loan.  It’s almost certain that the U.S. economy would grow at an incredible rate under this plan (which would bring in more revenue and bring that 23% rate down, btw).  That growth, though, would lead the Alan Greenspan’s of the world to want to raise the Prime Rate to keep inflation in check, though.  So, I think you either get inflation, or you get higher interest rates.  I’m not an economist, though, so I’m most likely completely mistaken.

Anyway, buy the book.  Read it.  Follow the suggestions in the book, if you like what you read.  If you hate what you read, do something appropriate for that also (tell your representative, join an opposition organization, flame me).  Whatever you do, get informed.

UPDATE:  Took me long enough, but I finally found out.  Not a single Democrat or Independent on the list.  Sad.


Now playing: Leonard Bernstein; New York Philharmonic - V. Saturn, The Bringer Of Old Age

Tuesday, August 09, 2005 9:06 AM

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# Most Impacted Groups

Chris Breish has a great post which summarizes the five groups which stand to lose the most under the FairTax plan. Of the groups he lists, it's the independantly wealthy and the lobby-industry types that will be the biggest problem.... 8/11/2005 10:37 AM | FairTaxBlog.org

# re: The FairTax Book

On its face, it sounds ok. I would welcome almost anything that would reduce the Tax Code and its constituent industries.

It would put several billion dollars back into the economy in the long term. Short-term, I would be concerned about unemployment. There are enough accountants (and tax lawyers, etc.) that, if this were implemented, their new found uselessness would have a material effect on the unemployment rate. (It might go from 5% to 7% nation wide which still far better than any other country that I know of, but I digress.)

As I said I think it sounds good in the long term (macro-econmics is all about the long term), however my concern would be the short term, specifically, from the moment of implmentation to a few months afterward. I am not sure how retailers (or other types sellers) would be able to keep prices down to levels you discuss. I think there would be a sharp increase in price and then a slow decline as everyone gets used to it. Moreover, the cost foreign tangibles/materials used by domestic companies will probably have an overall price increase because (as you noted above) their employees will not pay in our tax system, so anything increase will be a real increase. Could the american steel industry afford a 17-23% hike in prices hike in prices right now (or ever)? This one event could cause issues with all sorts of other industries such as real estate, automotive, etc.

Now, about the pre-bates. Though I think it an acknowledgement of some of the issues I raise, I do not like the idea. I do not like the idea of government sending out regular checks to people. They become dependant on it and will use it for things other than what they should ($500/ month will buy me a lot of beer). Moreover, I think it smells a little like FDR's New Deal that we are all still paying for and chews up one of the largest portions of the national budget. In my opinion, scrap the pre-bate.

Overall, I like it. It sounds a lot like a VAT (Value Added Tax) that some countries have used with some success. In fact, the more I think about it, the more I am sure that this is exactly what it is, just with some extra window dressing.

Thoughts??
8/12/2005 5:52 AM | Jon

# re: The FairTax Book

Jon brings up some good points, most of which are addressed in the book, so here's my interpretation of the "official" rebuttal.

1) Unemployment. The authors claim that all the tax attorneys, etc. that they've talked to about this have welcomed the idea, because it will let them go do something more productive (i.e., actual financial planning, business plan analysis, etc.). However, even if it's true, you have to consider the class of the unemployed. We're not talking about your average construction worker being unable to find a job. This is a specific class of white collar worker. I think the unemployment issues you discuss would be at most a 90-day or so speedbump. And with the expected economic growth elsewhere, the unemployment rate would at worst, stay the same, not go up.
2) Retailers will be able to bring down prices in the short term because current inventory available at the time that the tax is enabled is exempt from the tax. If I'm Sears and I have $300 million in inventory on Jan. 1, 2006 and that's the day the tax starts, that $300 million is exempt. The reason? They've already paid the "embedded" taxes on it. As for purchasing foreign goods to build your widget, that's discussed under VAT's. And is exactly the problem with them.
3) The pre-bates, are, unfortunately, quite necessary. Without them, the FairTax can be easily painted as an unfair tax burden on the poor. Currently, those at the poverty level pay pretty much nothing in taxes. This is a way to maintain that and not start taxing the poverty level. The FairTax is, however, fair, so it's not just the poverty level that gets the pre-bate.
4) VAT's vs. the FairTax. This is discussed in great detail in the book. The key difference is that VAT's are added at every step in the production process while the FairTax is added only once, to the final retail sale by the purchaser. The problem with VAT's is that they aren't consistent across products (bring back the lobbyists and the confusing tax code), and that since they're embedded at every step of the process, it's easy to "hide" new taxes without the public being any wiser. One key advantage of the FairTax is that if the government decides it needs more money, it's going to have to raise the FairTax rate. That will be immediately and apparently obvious to any consumer. There's a great discussion of VAT and how it relates to Daimler-Chrysler vs. GM, and why American companies move overseas in the book.
8/12/2005 6:01 AM | Chris J. Breisch

# re: The FairTax Book

One of the aspects of the Fairtax plan is that saving will be greatly encouraged. Of course, this depends on the individual but in my case, my paycheck will increase by $1,165 per month on a salary of $68,000. So, not even counting the return of $377 per month prebate, I have a substancial incentive to save. The average available for saving would not be need to be near this high to be significant. If this example holds for many if not most of Americans, the effect of an influx of money into the lending stream should help drive interest rates down. 8/12/2005 10:41 AM | Jim Schutt

# re: The FairTax Book

Jim,
Thanks. I had neglected to take this into account. That makes sense. 8/12/2005 6:11 PM | Chris J. Breisch

# re: The FairTax Book

I have been an avid proponent of this book and the bill as soon as I heard about it. I sit on the board of trustees at my college in Maine, and as we were unveiling a brand new addition to a building that was GIVEN to our campus by a private donor, and the next day voting in donations of $1000.00 or more, I had to wonder, what would happen to all the donations should this new fairtax plan go into effect? For someone like me who can see that the post-secondary education system does not fund 100% of it's operating budget by tuition alone, I'm wondering if anyone knows what would happen to donations and scholarships where donors look primarily for a great place to get a tax break? If anyone has any comments I would love to hear them. I think this fairtax plan is a great idea so far, and I would love to hear a solution to this. Thanks. 11/11/2005 2:37 PM | Spencer

# re: The FairTax Book

I've just read the book as well and, overall, I am fully on board. Regarding the questions of donations, this is discussed in the book. The authors point out that most Americans donate for other reasons than tax breaks. If accurate, we can expect the tax base to grow significantly, and with the tax system that helped chase many companies off-shore now gone, would likely bring many of them back to the US and therefore increase employment opportunities. 12/20/2005 5:51 PM | Kevin King

# re: The FairTax Book

It is high time to set this in order. it is indeed disappointing that the Democratic side of things do not see the benefit--or are they just protecting their pork barrell still? I see this as a means of eliminating nonproductive workers from the income stream and make wage earners of these bottom feeders, the accountants and attorneys that have gleaned too much for too long and from a system that was not in our founding Father's plans. The government is too large and the group that they support are too many and both of these produce an unhealthy America. When are we going to stand up and bite the bullet and make the hard decisions? Are we men enough to lead our selves and our families into reality? I for one am ready. I want to take a stand for our liberty, which we are quickly losing. Frankly, I am in the position of sharing information to a group of people who are not willing to process the data, the reality of life, freedom, and financial issues and they have been sucked into the belief that the "government" will always take care of them. What is going to happen when $16 trillion of US debt gets called? Who is going to take care of the poor, dependent souls then? Not the government, they will be off taking care of themselves. Our representatives need to be aware of the discontent that we feel. But most of us don't believe that anyone in Washington is listening, much less in our states. It is time to act rather than haveing to react. Will there be enough informed individuals to make a difference? I will contact my representatives today and let the ones that have signed on that I apprecitate their courage and believe they are doing the right thing and hang in there. 3/7/2007 12:36 PM | Steve N.

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